According to the local legislation, forecasting of electricity generation becomes mandatory for all participants in the Ukrainian solar energy market from January 1st, 2021. As part of our operation and maintenance services for commercial solar power plants, Avenston provides forecasting service for the operation of photovoltaic power plants. We prepare and submit reports with predicted levels of electricity production and help to timely submit them to state control authorities.
A solar forecast is a calculated forecast of the amount of electricity that will be generated by a solar power plant over a given period of time. Correct and accurate forecasting is essential for the successful integration of renewable energy systems into the Ukrainian energy system. Accurate forecasts can help determine the cost of electricity for the day ahead and also prevent imbalance penalties.
To obtain a detailed commercial offer, please, contact our specialists. The list of documents that must be provided for the most accurate forecasting of generation from your solar power plant is the following:
Avenston offers a service for forecasting the operation of solar power plants, including – hourly for the day ahead. This service includes the following:
To improve forecasting accuracy, images from several geostationary weather satellites are used, which take images of the Earth from space every 5-15 minutes, with a spatial resolution of up to 1 kilometer. We get each of these images processed using geocoding, quality control and solar radiation algorithms in a few tens of seconds before the data enters the algorithms that predict where the cloud cover will go next. This includes exposure to aerosols (dust, smoke, etc.) as well as low-lying clouds or fog. With each new satellite image, predictive data is played back using machine learning algorithms that learns the best predictions.
We also provide the following services: